fbpx

To win big money in large field GPP tournaments on DraftKings, you need to find high upside targets that give you leverage over much of the field.

When you take down a GPP, you would prefer to not split the top prize with 2,000 other people. With a limited number of lineups, the goal is to find a healthy balance between high upside targets with low ownership projections.

Every slate is different, however, and sometimes it is just as important to recognize which fighters to fade as it is which fighters to roster. In this article, I will give my favorite leverage play and my favorite fighter to fade for this week’s slate.

Favorite GPP Play of the Week

Viacheslav Borschev $8,500         

“Slavaclause” takes on Chase Hooper this Saturday night in St. Louis and this is a phenomenal fight to target on DraftKings with a (-325) “Does not go the distance” betting line.

This is as binary as a fight can be with Borschev being the much better striker and Chase Hooper being the much better submission grappler. Slava currently sits as a (-140) betting favorite in the fight, but the MMA community seems very split on which side holds the most betting value.

Our team of experts are split on this fight… Get access NOW

I expect Chase Hooper to be more highly owned on DraftKings (I could be wrong) than Slava, because he is a closely-lined underdog coming off of two wins since moving up to the lightweight division with a ton of grappling upside. While I expect the winner of this fight to score very well, I prefer the Slavaclause side for a couple of reasons.

While Chase is a very talented submission grappler, his wrestling is absolutely awful. To be fair, Slava’s wrestling is also very inadequate and ultimately the fight comes down to whether Chase can force grappling exchanges or not. If he can, Chase should find a submission without much trouble, but if he cannot, then Slava is going to absolutely annihilate him on the feet. Borschev’ wrestling has looked bad inside of the UFC against much bigger, stronger, and more talented offensive grapplers than Chase Hooper.

Since joining Team Alpha Male in 2019, Borschev has been working to get his grappling up to par and the process has certainly taken some time. Hopefully, this is the fight where he gets to showcase some of the counter grappling that he has desperately been trying to add to his arsenal. I have a two unit bet on Borschev and I expect him to shrug off the early wrestling attempts by his opponent before embarrassing him in the striking.

Official Prediction: Borschev KO2

Favorite GPP FADE of the Week

Sean Woodson $9,100

Sean Woodson takes on Alex Caceres this Saturday night in the UFC Featherweight division. This projects to be a striking battle between two very tall, very long fighters in the 145-pound division.

Personally, I think the betting value is on Alex Caceres as he is currently sitting at about a (+190) betting underdog. Neither of these fighters have a ton of power in their strikes, but both have proven capable of using their lengthy builds to give a certain level of fighter fits on the feet. For Sean Woodson to compete with the optimal lineup this week at his price point, he certainly needs to win by finish.

The problem with this is that Alex Caceres is a very durable fighter and is unlikely to get submitted in this spot. Caceres has remained fairly active over the years and has not been finished in a fight since 2019, which came against an elite submission grappler in Kron Gracie. With this bout being heavily favored to go to decision, I just do not see a very high ceiling for Sean Woodson this Saturday and he is an easy fade target for me in large field GPPs.

Official Prediction: Woodson by decision

Cash Rules Everything Around Me.

Dream, Believe, And Make It Happen.   

Interested in taking your DraftKings play to the next level? you should check out the tools and additional DraftKings and betting content we offer for subscribers. More info available here