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Each week, I try to identify the available options on Underdog Fantasy for UFC that have the most value. I will give my analysis of each play, along with a star rating (3 stars = slight value, 4 stars = good value, 5 stars = great value).

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Viacheslav Borshchev UNDER 42.5 Significant Strikes – 5 stars
*5 star plays are 10-9 this year*

Our experts are split on this fight… Find out who they are betting here

This one is pretty straightforward to me. If Borshchev is having this much success on the feet then I think he likely finds the knockout against Chase Hooper. But I also think there is a chance he is forced to grapple and potentially get submitted as well. We have multiple outs to go under this number.

Rodrigo Nascimento +1.5 Significant Strikes (Rivals) – 5 stars
*5 star plays are 10-9 this year*

Derrick Lewis is historically very low volume. Even though I think Lewis likely wins this by knockout, I expect Nascimento to be ahead in the significant strikes especially if the knockout comes later in the fight.

Joaquin Buckley UNDER 39.5 Significant Strikes – 4 stars
*4 star plays are 22-13 this year*

Ozzy and Evan both have the same bet on this fight… Find out who they are backing here

Buckley is a powerful striker and has legitimate knockout ability in this matchup. But he also has durability concerns as he has been knocked out four times in his career. He is also facing Nursulton Ruziboev who has not fought into the second round in any of his past 10 fights.

Robelis Despaigne UNDER 19.5 Significant Strikes – 4 stars
*4 star plays are 22-13 this year*

Despaigne has five career fights and all of them have ended inside the first round. The guy is huge and comes from an Olympic Taekwondo background. I think he wins by knockout early at a decent clip which goes under this number. But even if he doesn’t I expect the gas tank to fall off a clip and potentially get himself finished before landing 20 significant strikes.

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