Each week, I try to identify the available options on Underdog Fantasy for UFC that have the most value. I will give my analysis of each play, along with a star rating (3 stars = slight value, 4 stars = good value, 5 stars = great value).

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Kevin Borjas -2.5 Significant Strikes (Rivals) – 5 stars
*5 star plays are 10-8 this year*

Pepe Silvia has a bet on this fight… Find out who he’s backing here

Kevin Borjas is facing Alessandro Costa who is typically low volume. I expect Borjas to be outpacing him on the feet and even if he gets taken down like many expect, he should be up in the striking department and I think he covers this line at a high clip.

Vitor Petrino UNDER 35.5 Significant Strikes – 4 Stars
*4 star plays are 20-13 this year*

Vitor Petrino is historically low volume and is averaging just under 2.75 significant strikes per minute. He has gone under this number even in a decision victory in his last fight so it’s possible that can happen again if he relies on his grappling. Additionally, he has big power when he does land and Anthony Smith has been knocked out more times than I can count.

Mauricio Ruffy UNDER 48.5 Significant Strikes – 4 Stars
*4 star plays are 20-13 this year*

Ruffy is mostly a counter striker and he is facing Jamie Mullarkey who has very little durability as he has been knocked out five times in his career. If Mullarkey stays alive, there is also a chance he can try to grapple Ruffy although I doubt he does. We have multiple ways to go under this number.

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