When searching for high upside targets in the low salary range on Draftkings, it is important to remember that we must operate on an IF/THEN basis. IF (Fighter A) wins THEN I expect him to score well. To take down a large-field GPP, you need to be unique and score a ton of points. In this column, I will be focusing on fighters who will be saving you salary, are projected to be lower owned in our ownership projections, and most importantly have high upside in a victory.

Renato Moicano $7,300         

    I expect Renato’s opponent Jalin Turner to gain a lot of ownership given his ITD line, so a Renato victory would theoretically give you a strong edge over much of the field. In this particular matchup, his most recognizable path to victory comes through the grappling.

    Renato is capable of landing takedowns and is good at taking the back. Turner is competent on the ground, but he certainly does not want to concede takedowns and control time in this matchup. If Moicano wins this fight on Saturday, then he probably scores something close to his last fight against Drew Dober, where he landed three takedowns in route to a decision victory yielding 97 points on Draftkings.

    Yan Xiaonan $7,000

    I didn’t realize until this past week how low the general sentiment is towards Yan Xiaonan. I am not prepared to die on this hill, but I actually rate her a bit higher than the majority of people I speak to. It is no secret that she likely has her hands full in this five round co-main event against the division’s champion, Zhang Weili, but I see a path to victory for her.

    The only way that Zhang covers her current betting line of -500 in this fight is if she lands takedowns early and often and completely dominates Yan on the mat. This path to victory, while possible, relies on two things.

    First, we have no idea what type of gameplan Zhang is coming in with. Zhang is a great striker in her own right and may just want to duke it out on the feet with her fellow Chinese competitor.

    Second, we have to assume that Yan is going to offer little to no resistance to a grappling-based gameplan from Zhang. Early in her career, Yan was completely exploitable on the ground and I think that gap in skillset from a couple of years ago still weighs heavily in peoples’ minds.

    Ultimately, I think that Yan probably offers more grappling resistance than people give her credit for and I think there is a really good chance this fight goes all 25 minutes. In a decision win, Yan can land well over 100 significant strikes and certainly compete for the optimal lineup at a low ownership. 

    Jim Miller $7,600

    Future hall of famer, Jim Miller, takes on UFC veteran Bobby Green at UFC 300 and I think he is a terrific GPP target this week. Jim continues to set and break UFC records as he is among the promotion’s leaders in minutes spent inside the cage, total fights, as well as finishes. Jim is capable of winning this fight by knockout, submission, and by decision, which I think makes him a very viable underdog target this weekend.

    Skill for skill, I certainly favor Bobby Green on the feet, but this upcoming bout is just a few months removed from him being absolutely annihilated by Jalin Turner in what was one of the latest referee stoppages I have ever seen. Bobby could certainly outbox Miller over 3 rounds here, but if Miller wins, then I expect him to score very well given his price and certainly has round one finishing upside in this matchup.

    Dream it. Believe it. And make it happen.   

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