Each week, I will look at the overall winning lineup for the main tournament on DraftKings. I will list key takeaways and any notable information that we can use going forward.

This lineup used the full $50,000 salary and was duplicated seven times. Typically, we see the full salary lineups get duped a bit more but after looking into this roster construction, it makes sense that it was not heavily duped.

The first thing that jumps out to me is that they avoided the chalky mid-range construction this week. Fighters like Ion Cutelaba (29%) and Jailton Almeida (46%) were very popular plays in the mid-range and they both busted hard.

Additionally, they used Mateusz Gamrot (21%) as a pivot play up top as my Ownership Projections had him at only 18% and he popped off for the highest score on the entire slate which was a big differentiator. This is another reminder to target wrestlers – especially if they are going to be lower owned.

Aside from Gamrot, they ate the chalk up top with the obvious Robelis Despaigne and Sean O’Malley who, along with Gamrot, were the top ranked fighters in my DraftKings Rankings this week. They were able to eat this chalk without being duplicated a bunch because of their overall roster construction along with a few leverage points.

One key leverage point for them was Dustin Poirier. Poirier (27%) was obviously still somewhat popular, but he was half the ownership of his opponent, Benoit Saint-Denis (54%) who was the most owned fighter on the entire slate. This was personally my biggest leak this week as I was very heavy on BSD but decided to fade Poirier. I let my personal take on the fighter matchup cloud my judgement as I expected Poirier to be anti-grappling for most of the fight and have a hard time scoring points. So I was underweight Poirier for that reason which in hindsight, was a mistake.

Another big leverage point was Joanne Wood. The first fight of the night narrative strikes again! Wood came through as a cheap underdog that scored well and was only 13% owned by the field. This also provided the salary for the three expensive fighters they used up top.

Lastly, they had Gilbert Burns who ended up losing despite being up two rounds on the scorecards. Burns surprisingly ended up slightly higher owned than Jack Della Maddelena but still scored well enough in a loss to get there.

Key takeaways:

  • Unique roster construction (3 studs up top and avoided mid-range)
  • Leverage off the most popular fighter (Dustin Poirier)
  • Low owned leverage punt play (Joanne Wood)
  • Pivot play up top (Mateusz Gamrot)

Big congrats to GetConfidentStupid and the others that chopped this week!

Best of luck next week, and I’ll see you in the streets.

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