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We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports for UFC Vegas 67 in Las Vegas! We have a fun 12-fight slate on DraftKings which is not ideal but enough to get the juices flowing for the first week back. It also helps that we have $100K up for grabs to first place.

As always, I give my analysis and DraftKings strategy based on how I see each fight matchup playing out. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter  with any questions that you have leading up until fight night Saturday.

Sijara Eubanks vs Priscila Cachoeira
Eubanks, -140; Cachoeira, +120

Sijara Eubanks is coming off a third-round TKO loss to Melissa Gatto last December. Eubanks has now lost three of her last four fights and turns 38 years old in April which are obvious concerns coming into this fight. However, she has a solid ground game and averages nearly two takedowns per 15 minutes and holds a black belt in BJJ. Her cardio has never been one of her strengths but stylistically speaking, this is a very favorable matchup for her.

Her opponent, Priscila Cachoeira is coming off a first-round knockout victory over Ariane Lipski in August. Believe it or not, she has won four of her last five fights and seems to be coming into her own. However, her strength has always been her durability and big power on the feet. But she has never been able to defend takedowns as she defends at just 65% in the UFC. Once taken down, she does not know how to work back to her feet and typically gets controlled and dominated on the mat, including two submission losses in her career.

Cachoeira is going to have a clear power advantage on the feet but her takedowns defense and lack of defensive grappling are major concerns in this matchup. I expect Eubanks to take her down at will and control her on the mat. This basically just comes down to whether or not you think Eubanks does not get the finish and gasses herself out. Eubanks by submission is the official pick and she is a strong play on DraftKings.

Charles Johnson vs Jimmy Flick
Johnson, -365; Flick, +300

Charles Johnson is coming off a split-decision victory over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in November. He has not looked great through his two UFC bouts and many people thought he lost his last fight as well. He previously fought over in LFA and was the Flyweight champion in that promotion. He is a well rounded fighter that has no glaring weaknesses. However, he typically lets his opponents dictate the dance and pressure him which leaves him vulnerable to defending takedowns and pummeling against the cage as opposed to getting his offense going.

His opponent, Jimmy Flick is returning to the UFC octagon after a brief retirement. He previously fought on Dana White’s Contender Series back in 2020 and followed up his performance with a first-round flying triangle submission victory over Cody Durden in December of 2020. Flick’s biggest issue is his durability as he does not react well to getting hit and has been knocked out in four of his five professional losses. But his grappling is dangerous and he is always live to pull of an impressive submission and 14 of his 16 career wins have come that way.

This seems like a clear dog or pass situation to me. Johnson is not the type of fighter to cover this massive price tag and particularly on DraftKings, he seems like an easy fade to me. I have much more interest in Flick as a cheap underdog that has the potential to break the slate if he were to win. The most likely outcome is that Johnson is able to work back to his feet repeatedly and out cardio Flick until he lands a big enough punch to hurt him and get him out of there. However, Flick is one of my favorite underdogs on the slate so my exposure will be heavily skewed towards the underdog in this one.

Dan Argueta vs Nick Aguirre
Argueta, -600; Aguirre, +425

Dan Argueta made his UFC debut on short notice and up a weight class but lost a decision to Damon Jackson in June. He previously fought on the Ultimate Fighter as well and is the former Bantamweight champion in LFA. He comes from a collegiate wrestling background and will look to land takedowns. His striking is not great as he is very wreckless defensively but will put a pace on his opponents and has good cardio to keep it up for 15 minutes if needed.

His opponent, Nick Aguirre is making his UFC debut in this one. He is a 7-0 prospect with all seven of his career wins coming inside the distance and all but one in the first round. He also comes from a wrestling background but is extremely untested at this level. The level of competition is a major concern and this is a big step up for him.

Argueta is not the style of fighter I am looking to back as a sizable favorite. He is reckless on the feet and can be taken down and controlled. However, the cardio angle should be big if this fight gets extended and Argueta will likely take over in the second and third rounds. Argueta by decision is the official pick.

Allan Nascimento vs Carlos Hernandez
Nascimento, -380; Hernandez, +310

Allan Nascimento came through as a sizable underdog in his last fight against Jake Hadley where he won a decision in May. That was his first UFC victory and 13 of his 19 career wins have come by submission. He is willing to be taken down just for the chance to get his grappling going as he holds a black belt in BJJ. But the downside of that is that he can lose minutes by playing guard if he is unable to reverse position or win by submission.

His opponent, Carlos Hernandez is coming off a split-decision victory over Victor Altamirano last February. He previously fought on Dana White’s Contender Series and comes from a kickboxing background. Since dropping his professional debut in 2017, he has won his last eight fights. He is a technical striker and will throw in volume but is typically a counter striker and is easily backed up by pressure fighters.

Nascimento is the much better grappler in this matchup and should be able to take Hernandez down if he forces the issue. However, Hernandez is generally good at working back to his feet and has shown decent submission defense as well. If he can keep the fight standing or even land a takedown or two of his own, then he is a live underdog in this fight. Nascimento by decision is the official pick but I expect this fight to play out closer than the odds suggest. Neither fighter has a good ceiling for DraftKings which makes this fight mostly a fade for me.

Javid Basharat vs Mateus Mendonca
Basharat, -350; Mendonca, +290

Javid Basharat is coming off an impressive performance in September with a convincing victory over Tony Gravely. He is 13-0 professionally with 11 of his 13 career wins coming inside the distance. He is a very well-rounded fighter with technical striking and a solid ground game. He will throw in volume on the feet and mix in the takedowns at 1.7 per 15 minutes. Lastly, his cardio is always on point and he can push a pace for 15 minutes if needed.

His opponent, Mateus Mendonca is coming off a first-round finish on Dana White’s Contender Series this past season. He is an undefeated prospect fighting out of Brazil with a 10-0 record and seven of his wins coming inside the distance. He is a former training partner of Charles Oliveira and comes from a Muay Thai background but is very well rounded and will mix in the grappling. He is a former two-time champion in jiu jitsu and holds a black belt in BJJ.

Unfortunately for Mendonca, this is a very tough test in his UFC debut and one that I doubt he has the skills to handle. Basharat is the more diverse striker and very solid in the grappling department as well so I would be surprised to see Mendonca have success there either. Basharat by decision is the official pick.

Mateusz Rebecki vs Nick Fiore
Rebecki, -700; Fiore, +510

Mateusz Rebecki comes in as the biggest favorite on the entire card. He is another Dana White Contender Series winner from this past season and one of the better prospects that we saw on last season. He comes from a high-level grappling background with a black belt in BJJ and is the former lightweight champion in FEN promotion. He is a bit reckless on the feet but does have power and will mix in the takedowns where he typically controls the grappling realm.

His opponent, Nick Fiore is making his UFC debut on short notice. Simply put, he is not UFC level at this stage in his career. He is just 5-0 with all five of his wins coming inside the first round. However, the level of competition is extremely poor and this is a massive step up for him against a proven opponent like Rebecki. I expect Rebecki to move forward immediately and land some heavy overhands before taking this fight to the ground where he should control Fiore until he finds a finish. Rebecki by TKO is the official pick and he is an obvious play on DraftKings.

Abdul Razak Alhassan vs Claudio Ribeiro
Alhassan, -110; Ribeiro, -110

Abdul Razak Alhassan is coming off a split-decision loss to Joaquin Buckley last February. He has lost four of his last five fights since returning from his UFC absence in 2020. He turns 38 years old later this year and it’s clear that he is not going to be a contender any time soon. However, what is also clear is that he has enormous power. All 11 of his career wins have come by knockout and the majority of those were inside the first round.

His opponent, Claudio Ribeiro is coming off a first-round finish on Dana White’s Contender Series this past season. He is a 10-2 prospect fighting out of Brazil and all 10 of his wins have come by knockout. Much like Alhassan, the majority of his knockouts have come inside the first round. Ribeiro lacks technicality but he is very explosive and if he connects with one of his powerful looping hooks then he is likely to put your lights out. The concern with him is cardio and defensive grappling as he likely needs a first round knockout to win.

This is a high variance fight and both of these guys are similar with their early knockout ability along with their potential cardio concerns. I will have exposure to both sides on DraftKings as both of them have knockout upside but I slightly lean with Alhassan as the more experienced UFC fighter and the potential to land takedowns. Alhassan by TKO is the official pick.

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Raoni Barcelos
Nurmagomedov, -675; Barcelos, +500

Umar Nurmagomedov is coming off a dominant performance over Nate Maness in June. He is 15-0 professionally and 3-0 in the UFC. He is one of the biggest favorites on the card and that is a ton of respect against a reputable opponent like Raoni Barcelos. Nurmagomedov is a technical kickboxer with sharp leg kicks and a legitimate ground game as well. Seven of his 15 wins have come by submission and he is one of the best control grapplers in the division.

Barcelos is coming off a decision win over Trevin Jones in October. That win snapped a two-fight losing skid for him and he will look to pull off a big upset this Saturday. He is a skilled striker and a well-rounded fighter with a solid ground game as well. To this point, he has showed strong takedown defense at 93% but has yet to face opposition than that of Nurmagomedov when it comes to the grappling.

I expect the striking to be fairly competitive with Nurmagomedov landing more kicks at range while being able to avoid most of the damaging counter shots from Barcelos. I expect Nurmagomedov to be the better grappler as well and he gets his hand raised this weekend. But his ceiling is likely not as high as some others on this card for DraftKings. Nurmagomedov by decision is the official pick.

Ketlen Vieira vs Raquel Pennington
Vieira, -115; Pennington, -105

Ketlen Vieira is coming off a split-decision victory over Holly Holm in May. She is currently on a two-fight winning streak and another victory here could vault her right into title contention. She is a solid boxer but get hits too much to make you feel comfortable with her winning striking exchanges for extended minutes. Additionally, she has a solid ground game but only averages 1.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. Lastly, her cardio has been iffy at times in the past as well.

Her opponent, Raquel Pennington is coming off a decision victory over Aspen Ladd last April at UFC 273. She is currently on a four-fight winning streak and is itching to get her name in the hat for a potential title shot following a win this weekend. She is a good boxer and is liable to control her opponents in the clinch and against the fence as well. Her weakness is she only defends takedowns at 63% in the UFC and good grapplers can take advantage of that.

I expect this to be a very competitive fight with both fighters having success in multiple areas. I do not really see a case for either fighter convincingly winning rounds in this matchup which makes it an easy pass for me. Vieira by decision is the official pick but I do not have interest in either of them on DraftKings.

Punahele Soriano vs Roman Kopylov
Soriano, -155; Kopylov, +135

Punahele Soriano is coming off a knockout victory over Dalcha Lungiambula last June. That win snapped a two-fight losing skid for him against two solid grapplers in Brendan Allen and Nick Maximov. Historically, that is who you want to target Soriano with is fighters with a solid ground game and that can take him to the ground. Soriano is not a great defensive grappler but if the fight stays on the feet then he has big power with his heavy left hand and six of his nine career wins have come by knockout.

His opponent, Roman Kopylov is coming off a third-round knockout finish over Alessio Di Chirico in September. That was his first win in the UFC octagon after dropping his first two fights. Of his nine career wins, eight of them have come by knockout. Fortunately for Soriano, he is not much of a grappling threat but he does have power on the feet.

I expect this fight to be a banger. Both guys want to stand and trade and neither is interested in grappling much. I have interest in both sides on DraftKings as both have knockout potential but the official pick is Soriano by TKO.

Dan Ige vs Damon Jackson
Ige, -135; Jackson, +105

Dan Ige is coming off a decision loss to Movsar Evloev in June. After snapping a six-fight winning streak with a loss to Calvin Kattar in 2020, he has now lost four of his last five fights. That being said, he has faced some very stiff competition as of late and is now taking a step down in what should be a competitive matchup for him. Ige is a good boxer with a solid ground game as well and averages over one takedown per 15 minutes. But it’s clear that he can be taken down and out grappled for extended minutes when facing good grapplers.

His opponent, Damon Jackson is coming off a first-round finish over Pat Sabatini in September. He is currently on a four-fight winning streak and has looked great recently albeit against much lower competition than what Ige has faced. Jackson is primarily a grappler and averages 2.62 takedowns per 15 minutes and 15 of his 22 career wins have come by submission. The concern with Jackson is that he is not a great striker and he is very willing to accept takedowns as he only defends at just 42% in the UFC.

This is a fun matchup and I slightly favor the underdog in Jackson who has more of an ability to control where the fight takes place. I expect him to land multiple takedowns here and get the fight where he needs it as Ige will have the striking advantage. Jackson by decision is the official pick but I will have some exposure to both sides on DraftKings.

Sean Strickland vs Nassourdine Imavov
Strickland, -115; Imavov, -105

This was originally supposed to be Kelvin Gastelum but he was forced to pull out of the fight this week and will be replaced by Sean Strickland on short notice. The fight will take place at 205 lbs. Strickland is coming off a split-decision loss in the main event on the last card against Jared Cannonier just four weeks ago. Strickland is a very technical boxer but lacks power and aggression which is frustrating at times. He also has a well-rounded ground game but never uses it unless he is forced to.

His opponent, Nassourdine Imavov is coming off a decision victory over Joaquin Buckley in September. He is currently on a three-fight winning streak since his majority decision loss against Phil Hawes. Imavov is big for the division and has explosive power in the striking with five knockout victories. He has also shown the ability to land takedowns and has strong ground and pound when he gets in favorable position.

This is an interesting fight to break down because I expect Strickland to land more volume in striking exchanges but Imavov to have the bigger moments with his power advantage. This could look similar to the Cannonier fight and I trust the durability of Imavov more along with him being the more likely to land a takedown or two. Imavov by decision is the official pick.