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We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports for UFC Vegas 60 in Las Vegas! We have a fun 14-fight slate on DraftKings which is a bigger slate than the previous weeks. It also helps that on DraftKings we have another $100,000 to first place in the main contest.

As always, I give my analysis and DraftKings strategy based on how I see each fight matchup playing out. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter  with any questions that you have leading up until fight night Saturday.

Nikolas Motta vs Cameron VanCamp
Motta, -205; VanCamp, +175

Nikolas Motta lost his UFC debut to Jim Miller as he was knocked out in the second round in February. He is a 12-4 prospect with eight wins by knockout. He previously fought on Dana White’s Contender Series back in 2020. He is a powerful striker but does not throw in volume and has a clear durability issue as he has been knocked out in three of his four professional losses.

His opponent, Cameron VanCamp is coming off a first-round knockout loss to Andre Fialho in his UFC debut at UFC 274 in May. VanCamp is a tall and lanky fighter and will have a four-inch reach advantage in this matchup. He is typically a kill or be killed style of fighter as 13 of his 15 wins have come inside the distance and he has been finished three times as well. He is more of a grappler and does have sneaky submission upside, but he gets hit way too much on the feet to make you feel comfortable.

I expect this to be a high paced fight and one that we see a finish regardless of who wins. For that reason, I will have exposure to both sides on DraftKings, but I lean with Motta who should have a clear power advantage and he finds the chin of VanCamp more times than not. Motta by knockout is the official pick.

Javid Basharat vs Tony Gravely
Basharat, -155; Gravely, +135

Javid Basharat is coming off an impressive UFC debut performance with a convincing decision victory over Trevin Jones. He previously fought on Dana White’s Contender Series last season and his brother just headlined Tuesday night’s card as well. He is a sharp striker with a strong jab and will mix in the leg kicks as well. He is also a good submission grappler and has six submission victories to his credit.

His opponent, Tony Gravely is coming off a first-round knockout victory over Johnny Munoz Jr. in June. Gravely comes from a collegiate wrestling background and he averages 6.65 takedowns per 15 minutes. He pushes a crazy pace although he does gas out in the final round in most fights. However, it is not just the wrestling that you have to be concerned with as he is a good boxer as well and has shown his power in multiple fights.

On the feet, I expect Basharat to be a bit quicker but Gravely carries more power. Additionally, both guys are capable of landing takedowns but Gravely is much more likely to land multiple takedowns and spend time in top position. The concern with Gravely is always that he tends to give up his neck in scrambles and Basharat is a competent submission threat. I will have exposure to both sides on DraftKings but Gravely by decision is the official pick.

Gillian Robertson vs Mariya Agapova
Robertson, -145; Agapova, +125

Gillian Robertson is coming off a decision loss to JJ Aldrich in May. She has now lost three of her last four fights and the blueprint is clearly out there on how to beat her. She is a dangerous grappler with seven of her 10 wins coming by submission and she averages nearly 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. However, her striking is nonexistent and when she cannot get her opponents to the ground she struggles mightily.

Her opponent, Mariya Agapova is coming off a submission loss to Maryna Moroz in March at UFC 272. She is a high-volume striker with powerful leg kicks and will hold a five-inch reach advantage over Robertson. Her biggest issue has always been her inability to defend takedowns and she can be controlled on the mat and liable to make a mistake down there as well. That could be an issue in this matchup against a one-dimensional grappler in Robertson.

So, this fight basically comes down to if you think Robertson can effectively land takedowns here. Her wrestling has never been good, but Agapova does not defend well so it makes for an interesting dynamic. I expect Agapova to have a massive advantage in the striking but because her takedown defense is so poor, I do think that Robertson can take her down. Once on the mat, Robertson is very live to finish and should be able to control her for the duration of that round. For that reason, I lean Robertson who should be able to get the fight that she wants. Robertson by submission is the official pick but I will have some exposure to both sides on DraftKings.

Daniel Zellhuber vs Trey Ogden
Zellhuber, -275; Ogden, +230

Daniel Zellhuber put on an impressive performance last September on Dana White’s Contender Series with a convincing win over Lucas Almeida. Zellhuber is a 12-0 prospect and a decorated striker who comes from an undefeated Muay Thai background. He is very long for the division and has a dangerous kicking attack but is not afraid to duke it out in the pocket as well. He is also a brown belt in BJJ, and his defensive grappling has checked out throughout the regional scene which will likely be tested in this matchup as well.

His opponent, Trey Ogden is coming off a split-decision loss to Jordan Leavitt in his UFC debut in April. Ogden is primarily a grappler with 11 of his 15 career wins coming by submission and he holds a black belt in BJJ. He has power on the feet as well, but his gas tank makes him liable if he is unable to have early grappling success or land a big shot on the feet.

I expect Zellhuber to stuff the grappling attempts of Ogden and keep this fight standing for the majority where he should have a big advantage. Zellhuber by knockout is the official pick but he is too expensive on DraftKings for my liking which will limit my exposure some.

Loma Lookboonmee vs Denise Gomes
Lookboonmee, -225; Gomes, +190

Loma Lookboonmee is coming off a decision loss to Loopy Godinez in November of last year. She comes from a high-level Muay Thai background and will throw in volume on the feet and mix in some takedowns as well although she is not much of a grappler. She is small for the division but makes up for it with her speed and relentless kicking attack and her opponent is about the same size in this fight.

Denise Gomes just fought on Dana White’s Contender Series a few weeks ago and won a decision over Rayanne Amanda. She comes from a Muay Thai background as well and carries some power on the feet. However, she is typically not a high volume striker despite landing over 100 significant strikes in her last fight. She mostly relies on her opponents gassing out and her power being able to overwhelm her opponents.

I expect this to be a kickboxing match for the majority and I think the speed of Lookboonmee will be a key factor here. I expect her to be landing more volume in the striking exchanges and mostly avoiding the power shots of Gomes. I have no interest in betting her at this price or playing her on DraftKings as the ceiling is way too low for that price. Lookboonmee by decision is the official pick but there are much better fights to target on DraftKings this week.

Aspen Ladd vs Sara McMann
Ladd, -135; McMann, +115

Aspen Ladd is coming off a decision loss to Raquel Pennington at UFC 273 in April. After a hot start in the UFC, she has now lost three of her last four fights. She seems to have lost confidence in her fighting style and basically just relies on her cardio and wrestling but is not doing enough to win rounds consistently. Her striking was never that great and now that the volume has dipped, it is just tough to back her in most matchups, especially as a favorite price tag. Fortunately for her, she will have a clear cardio advantage in this fight but if that is enough is yet to be determined.

Her opponent, Sara McMann is coming off an impressive upset victory over Karol Rosa in March. At nearly 42 years old, McMann is still proven to be a tough opponent for anyone in this division, at least for the first half of the fight. Her wrestling is among the best this division has to offer but her cardio is a known issue and has failed her multiple times in the past. I expect McMann to have success with landing takedowns early as Ladd only defends at 62% in the UFC. She should be able to take Ladd down and control her for most of the first two rounds. For that reason, I am picking her to win as she likely will just need to avoid gassing out and getting finished in the third if she is already up two rounds. McMann by decision is the official pick and I will have some exposure to both sides in the mid-range on DraftKings, but neither is a core play for me.

Joe Pyfer vs Alen Amedovski
Pyfer, -425; Amedovski, +340

Joe Pyfer started this season of Dana White’s Contender Series off with a bang as he won by knockout in the second round at the end of July. He is a very explosive striker with massive power in his hands and will look to land a kill shot early in fights. But for all of his power, he is not overly aggressive in the striking as he stays patient and looks for his shots tactically. He also has shown a solid ground game as well with powerful takedowns and two submission victories as well.

His opponent, Alen Amedovski is coming off a first-round submission loss to Joseph Holmes in May. After starting his professional career undefeated, he is 0-3 in the UFC and will likely see his walking papers after this fight. Amedovski is known more for his power and early finishing ability, but we have yet to see it inside the UFC as he has failed to do much of anything in any of his fights. In his combined three fights, he has landed nine strikes in the UFC which simply is not going to cut it.

I expect Joe Pyfer to win this fight wherever it goes, and I do not expect it to last long. Pyfer brings home another body bag to PA this weekend. Pyfer by knockout is the official pick and he is the most expensive fighter on DraftKings, but because of the first-minute knockout upside he is still in play at that price.

Trevin Giles vs Louis Cosce
Giles, -205; Cosce, +175

Trevin Giles is coming off a first-round knockout loss to Michael Morales at UFC 270 in January. He is primarily a boxer and does have some sharp punches and a strong jab. However, Giles is historically untrustworthy and has red flags all over the place. He has now been knocked out in two straight fights and has been finished in all four of his professional losses. He should be the bigger fighter this weekend as he previously fought at Middleweight but so far, his move to 170 lbs. has not helped his chin.

His opponent, Louis Cosce is coming off a two-year layoff since making his UFC debut. He fought Sasha Palatnikov in November of 2020 and was finished in the third round which was his first professional loss. Cosce nearly got the finish himself in the first round and then gassed out badly and fell apart. Coming into that fight, all seven of his wins came inside the first round.

Outside of a clear change in game plan, I expect Cosce to be aggressive once again and he carries a ton of power in his combinations. The risk with him is always that he will likely gas out again if the fight gets extended. But I would much rather take the chance on an explosive finisher as an underdog then back Giles as a big favorite. Additionally, Cosce has massive upside for DraftKings if he can find the round one finish so that is the way I will be constructing a lot of my lineups this week. Cosce by TKO is the official pick, and he is a high-risk high-reward underdog pick this week.

Pat Sabatini vs Damon Jackson
Sabatini, -180; Jackson, +155

Pat Sabatini is coming off a decision win over TJ Laramie in April. He is 4-0 in the UFC and currently on a six-fight win streak. Sabatini comes from a collegiate wrestling background and averages just under four takedowns per 15 minutes. He is a very dangerous submission grappler as 10 of his 17 victories have come by submission and he holds a black belt in BJJ. His striking is not great, but it is a means to an end for him as he likes to circle around the cage and time his punches while mixing in the kicking attack as well. But he is at his best when he goes to the grappling, and I expect that to be the case here.

His opponent, Damon Jackson is coming off a decision victory over Dan Argueta in June. Jackson is currently on a three-fight win streak and has looked pretty dominant throughout that run. However, the level of competition leaves more to be desired, and this is clear step up for him against a strong grappler which is typically how he wins fights. I expect Sabatini to be the better wrestler and more physical in the grappling positions. He is also more dangerous than Jackson with the submission attempts as well. Jackson’s streak ends this weekend. Sabatini by submission is the official pick.

Anthony Hernandez vs Marc-Andre Barriault
Hernandez, -180; Barriault, +155

Anthony Hernandez is coming off a decision win over Josh Fremd at UFC 273 in April. He is a 9-2 prospect and currently on a two-fight win streak. Of his nine victories, six have come by submission and that is clearly his best skillset. His striking is a bit reckless at times, but it is clear he is looking to grapple, and he averages just under 5.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. He pushes a hard pace and has good enough cardio to keep it up for 15 minutes if needed making him a difficult matchup for many in this division.

His opponent, Marc-Andre Barriault is coming off a first-round submission victory over Jordan Wright in April. Barriault is a high-volume striker that does carry power in his punches and nine of his 14 victories have come by knockout. However, his grappling leaves more to be desired and he only defends takedowns at 68% while never really trying to look for them himself. Lastly, his cardio has been lacking at times and I expect Hernandez to have an advantage in that area as well.

It is possible Barriault can clip Hernandez with something on the feet but more than likely I see Hernandez having success taking Barriault down and out grappling him. Hernandez by submission is the official pick and he is a solid target on DraftKings.

Tanner Boser vs Rodrigo Nascimento
Boser, -165; Nascimento, +140

Tanner Boser is coming off a second-round knockout win over Ovince St Preux in June of last year. He is predominantly a striker and will throw in volume and push a pace for the Heavyweight division. He likes to stay on the outside and manage distance where he can have success with his kicking attack before entering the pocket with powerful combinations. The way to neutralize Boser’s attack is by taking him down and controlling him on the mat, but he has shown solid takedown defense over the course of his UFC fights.

His opponent, Rodrigo Nascimento is coming off a second-round TKO finish over Alan Baudot in July of last year which was overturned to a no-contest. He trains out of American Top Team and is primarily a grappler as he averages 1.71 takedowns per 15 minutes. His grappling is solid for this weight class, but his takedowns are not that good and decent takedown defense should be able to stuff most of them which is what I expect from Boser here. On the feet, Nascimento will be working with a five-inch reach advantage, but he is low-volume on the feet, and I expect Boser to beat him to the punch for the majority of striking exchanges. Boser by knockout is the official pick.

Andre Fili vs Bill Algeo
Fili, -120; Algeo, +100

Andre Fili is coming off a first-round knockout loss in April to Joanderson Brito. He is a longtime UFC veteran with a well-rounded skillset wherever the fight goes. Fili fights behind a strong jab and will mxi in the leg kicks as well. But it is his wrestling that he is able to implement to really put a stamp on rounds as he averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. However, the durability is becoming a concern as he has been knocked out three times in his career and has been finished in five of his nine professional losses.

His opponent, Bill Algeo is coming off an exciting come from behind victory against Herbert Burns in July. Algeo is a high-volume striker with that pushes a crazy pace. He holds a black belt in BJJ and has strong defensive grappling, but he can also give up takedowns as he only defends at 54% in the UFC. He also fights with his hands down and will eat some shots despite showing good durability throughout his career.

I expect the striking to be very competitive with both fighters having success of their own. Fili should be able to land takedowns, but I expect Algeo to be able to work back to his feet and potentially land some of his own as well. I slightly lean with Algeo in this fight as I expect the volume to be a factor along with him being more of a submission threat as well. Algeo by decision is the official pick but this is a very close fight, and I am expecting it to go the full 15 mintues.

Chidi Njokuani vs Gregory Rodrigues
Njokuani, -115; Rodrigues, -105

Chidi Njokuani is coming off an impressive first-round knockout victory over Dusko Todorovic in May. That makes it back-to-back first-round knockouts for him since joining the UFC after a win on Dana White’s Contender Series last season. Njokuani comes from a striking background and has some explosive power in his hands with 14 of his 22 wins coming by knockout. I do think he is being overvalued after a few quick knockouts. This is still the same fighter that was an underdog on Contender Series and struggled being out grappled at times on the regional scene.

His opponent, Gregory Rodrigues is coming off a first-round knockout victory in June. He also fought on Dana White’s Contender Series a couple seasons ago and has made a name for himself in the UFC thus far. He is a powerful striker in his own right with seven of his 12 wins coming by knockout. But he also has shown off an impressive ground game as he averages 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes and holds a black belt in BJJ.

The main concern with Rordrigues is his durability as he has been knocked out multiple times and is facing someone with clear power. However, he is the more well-rounded fighter in this matchup, and I expect him to have success taking down Njokuani and controlling him on the mat. Rodrigues by knockout is the official pick and this is another good fight to target on DraftKings.

Cory Sandhagen vs Song Yadong
Sandhagen, -190; Yadong, +160

Cory Sandhagen is coming off a decision loss to Petr Yan in October of last year. He is currently on a two-fight losing streak but is still widely considered as one of the top contenders in the Bantamweight division. He is extremely well-rounded as he is a high-volume striker with explosive knockout power. His constant feints and switching stances make him one of the toughest fighters to deal with on the feet. Historically, the way to beat him is by taking him down and controlling him on the mat but that likely will not be the game plan of his opponent in this fight.

Song Yadong is coming off a first-round knockout over Marlon Moraes in March. He trains out of Team Alpha Male and is currently on a three-fight win streak. Yadong is a powerful striker and is very fast on the feet. But he is a one-dimensional striker, and this is a clear step up for him in competition. Lastly, he has never fought a five round fight before and he will be at a cardio disadvantage against Sandhagen. Yadong could be competitive on the feet early, but his lack of grappling will make this an easier puzzle for Sandhagen to solve as the fight goes. Sandhagen by decision is the official pick and a finish would not be surprising either, but he cruises this weekend.