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We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports for UFC London! We have a fun 14-fight slate on DraftKings and many fights that could end up being some fan favorite bangers. It also helps that on DraftKings we have another $100,000 to first place in the main contest.

As always, I give my analysis and DraftKings strategy based on how I see each fight matchup playing out. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter  with any questions that you have leading up until fight night Saturday.

Nicolas Dalby vs Claudio Silva
Dalby, -255; Silva, +215

Nicolas Dalby is coming off a decision loss to Tim Means last June. Dalby is a longtime UFC veteran and is 2-1-1 during his second stint inside the promotion. I have never been a fan of Dalby’s fighting style as he is a low volume striker with little finishing ability. He has a decent ground game but only averages 1.25 takedowns per 15 minutes, so he just does not have much round winning ability.

His opponent, Claudio Silva is coming off a decision loss to Court McGee in May of last year. At nearly 40 years old, he does not fight often and is currently on a two-fight losing streak. Silva is a black belt in BJJ and averages over 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. The issue is his lack of speed and endurance as he moves very slow and tends to fade as the fight goes on.

I expect this to be a low volume affair with a little bit of grappling and cage control. I am never trusting Dalby as a big favorite, but this is really his fight to lose. Dalby by decision is the official pick but there are much better fights to target on such a big slate for DraftKings.

Mandy Bohm vs Victoria Leonardo
Bohm, -130; Leonardo, +110

Mandy Bohm is coming off her UFC debut against Ariane Lipski in September when she dropped a unanimous decision. She is a 7-1 prospect but most of her wins came against low level regional talent, and I am not convinced that she belongs in the UFC or sticks around long. Her striking and footwork are awkward, and she plays no defense on the feet. She is capable of landing takedowns but a poor grappler and will give up positions on the mat and be taken down herself as well.

Her opponent, Victoria Leonardo is coming off a second-round TKO loss to Melissa Gatto last August. She is 0-2 in the UFC but has faced two very tough opponents and this seems like a get right spot for her. Leonardo is going to have to overcome a seven-inch reach disadvantage in this matchup but should be able to get inside and land takedowns of her own.

I do not believe either fighter has much of a ceiling, but it is an obvious buy low spot-on Leonardo. She has faced tougher competition throughout her career and should be the better wrestler and grappler in this fight. Leonardo by decision is the official pick.

Jai Herbert vs Kyle Nelson
Herbert, -265; Nelson, +225

Jai Herbert is coming off a knockout loss to Ilia Topuria in March. He is 1-3 in the UFC and has been finished in all three of those losses. Herbert comes from a striking background and has real knockout power with nine of his 11 wins coming by knockout. He is long for the division and will hold a six-inch reach advantage in this matchup. The biggest issue with Herbert is his durability as he has been finished in all four of his professional losses.

His opponent, Kyle Nelson is coming off nearly a two-year layoff as he most recently got knocked out by Billy Quarantillo in September of 2020. He is also 1-3 in the UFC and was finished in all three of those losses. Nelson does not have much to get excited about outside of heart. He is low volume on the feet and gets hit way too often.

I expect Herbert to have the striking advantage along with more finishing ability as well. But with the durability concerns on both sides along with their brawler fighting styles, this is a high variance fight where either guy can win by knockout. Herbert by knockout is the official pick but I will have exposure to both sides on DraftKings.

Muhammad Mokaev vs Charles Johnson
Mokaev, -460; Johnson, +370

Muhammad Mokaev stormed into the UFC as he submitted Cody Durden inside the first round in his UFC debut in March. He is a 7-0 prospect with five of his wins coming inside the distance. He is your typical Dagestani grappler but carries some vicious ground and pound when he gets in favorable positions on the mat.

His opponent, Charles Johnson is coming in on a four-fight win streak and will be making his UFC debut. He previously fought in LFA and is the former Flyweight champion for the promotion. He currently sports an 11-2 professional record with eight of his wins coming inside the distance.

I expect Johnson to be the better striker in this matchup, but the key will be avoiding the takedowns of Mokaev and working back to his feet immediately if he does give up a takedown. Historically, he has been good at working back to his feet, but he has yet to face the level of grappler that Mokaev is. I favor the grappling of Mokaev to be the difference, but I do expect this fight to play out very competitively and will be treating Johnson like a live underdog on DraftKings. Mokaev by submission is the official pick but I will have exposure to both sides.

Jonathan Pearce vs Makwan Amirkhani
Pearce, -205; Amirkhani, +175

Jonathan Pearce is coming off a decision victory over Christian Rodriguez in February. He is currently on a three-fight win streak since dropping his UFC debut to Joe Lauzon back in 2019. Pearce is a well-rounded fighter that has mainly relied on his grappling lately as he averages nearly seven takedowns per 15 minutes. His striking is not bad, but his defense is and he gets hit clean way too much.

His opponent, Makwan Amirkhani is coming off a first-round submission victory over Mike Grundy in March. That win snapped a three-fight losing streak for him. Amirkhani is notoriously dangerous with his submission skills but typically only in the first round. His cardio is not good, and he always fades once the fight gets extended.

This fight basically comes down to whether or not Pearce can avoid getting his neck snatched up. Outside of that, he should be winning the striking exchanges and will have a massive cardio edge which will be evident if the fight goes the full 15 minutes. Pearce by TKO is the official pick, and this is a good fight to target on DraftKings as I am expecting the winner to score well.

Nathaniel Wood vs Charles Rosa
Wood, -520; Rosa, +410

Nathaniel Wood is coming off a lengthy layoff as he last fought in October of 2020 when he dropped a decision to Casey Kenney at UFC 254. Wood is a solid prospect (pun intended) that fights at a high pace. He has a strong jab and will throw in high volume on the feet. But he is also a skilled submission grappler with five submission victories to his record.

His opponent, Charles Rosa is coming off a decision loss to TJ Brown in January and is currently on a two-fight losing streak. At this point, the blueprint is out on how to beat Rosa. You take him down and control him on the mat while avoiding getting caught in a submission. Rosa is a skilled grappler with a black belt in BJJ but if he is unable to submit you off his back then he will give up position for extended minutes on the mat.

I expect Wood to be the better striker that can fight behind his jab and throw much more volume than Rosa. Wood is also capable of controlling Rosa on the mat if he chooses to land takedowns. The concern with Wood is that he is a bit fragile and has been finished in four of his five professional losses. Outside of him getting caught in an armbar submission from Rosa or something like that, he gets the win here. Wood by decision is the official pick.

Marc Diakiese vs Damir Hadzovic
Diakiese, -340; Hadzovic, +280

Marc Diakiese is coming off an impressive performance his last time out when he derailed the hype train of Viacheslav Borshchev in March. Diakiese is a technical kickboxer that will try some flashy spinning techniques but is generally low volume on the feet. More recently, he has been showcasing his wrestling as he landed 11 takedowns in his last fight and averages three takedowns per 15 minutes.

His opponent, Damir Hadzovic is coming off a decision win over Yancy Medeiros last June. Hadzovic is primarily a power puncher with seven of his 14 wins coming by knockout. He will occasionally mix in a takedown or two as well, but I expect Diakiese to be the better wrestler in this matchup.

Diakiese has never been knocked out in his career and should be able to stay safe on the feet against Hadzovic and potentially hurt him as well. I favor Diakiese’s wrestling and expect him to be able to land takedowns as well. Diakiese by decision is the official pick.

Mason Jones vs Ludovit Klein
Jones, -325; Klein, +270

Mason Jones is coming off a decision victory over David Onama in October. He is an 11-1 prospect with his only loss coming against Mike Davis in what was a competitive fight in his UFC debut. He is a high-volume striker that can keep up the high pace for 15 minutes if needed. He also mixes in the takedowns at nearly 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. The concern with Jones is that he is very hittable and plays little to no defense despite being very durable.

His opponent, Ludovit Klein was originally supposed to face Ignacio Bahamondes in this spot, but Jones stepped in on short notice after Bahamondes pulled out due to injury. Klein is coming off a split-decision victory over Devonte Smith in March. Klein burst onto the scene in his UFC debut with a first-round knockout over Shane Young at UFC 253. Klein is very powerful, and eight of his 18 wins have come by knockout. But outside of his powerful kicks, he does not put a ton of volume out there.

It will be difficult for Klein to match the volume of Jones which makes me think he probably needs a big moment or a knockout to win this fight. I expect Jones to be the better wrestler as well and has the potential to land takedowns against Klein. Jones by decision is the official pick but a late finish would not surprise me at all as Klein tends to slow down.

Volkan Oezdemir vs Paul Craig
Oezdemir, -165; Craig, +140

Volkan Oezdemir is coming off a decision loss to Magomed Ankalaev at UFC 267 last October. He is currently on a two-fight losing streak and will look to get back in the win column in what should be a favorable matchup against Paul Craig this weekend. Oezdemir is a powerful striker with 12 of his 17 wins coming by way of knockout. His defensive grappling could be better, but he is tough to takedown and that will be tested in this matchup against Craig.

Craig is coming off a first-round submission victory against Nikita Krylov in March. Craig is a dangerous submission grappler with 13 of his 16 victories coming by submission. He is coming into this fight on a five-fight win streak with the exception of the draw against Mauricio Rua. Aside from his high-level grappling though, there is not much to be concerned about with Craig. His boxing has improved but his striking is still not good, and I expect Oezdemir to have the advantage on the feet.

This fight comes down to whether or not Craig can force some grappling exchanges. If he is unable to then I feel it is pretty likely that Oezdemir eventually hurts him with something on the feet. Because Oezdemir’s takedown defense is pretty solid overall and I do not rate Craig’s wrestling that great, I do expect Oezdemir to keep the fight standing for the most part. Oezdemir by knockout is the official pick but I will have some exposure to both sides on DraftKings as I am expecting the winner to score well.

Molly McCann vs Hannah Goldy
McCann, -390; Goldy, +320

Meatball Molly McCann is coming off a highlight reel knockout victory over Luana Carolina in March. She is currently on a two-fight win streak and now fighting in front of her home crowd so you can expect the energy to be electric. McCann is a high-volume boxer that likes to walk forward and fight in the phone booth. She will also mix in takedowns as well against fighters that she has a strength advantage over.

Her opponent, Hannah Goldy is coming off a first-round submission win over Emily Whitmire which was her first win inside the promotion. Goldy is very athletic but that is really all I can say about her. She has some powerful hooks, but she typically stays on the outside and throws karate kicks and circles around the octagon.

I expect McCann to be throwing more volume and getting inside boxing range where both fighters should have some success, but I still favor McCann in those exchanges. McCann is also more liable to land takedowns and she will likely start pouring on the volume as she feeds off the crowd. McCann by decision is the official pick but she is too expensive on DraftKings.

Nikita Krylov vs Alexander Gustafsson
Krylov, -190; Gustafsson, +160

Nikita Krylov is coming off a first-round submission loss to Paul Craig in March. He has won just one of his last four fights, but he has faced elite competition during that span. Krylov has always been a good striker, but it is his defensive grappling that constantly gets him. He has been submitted in six of his nine professional losses. He is a finisher by nature though as the fight against Johnny Walker was his only decision victory across 27 career wins.

His opponent, Alexander Gustafsson is coming off a first-round submission loss to Fabricio Werdum in July of 2020. That was his first fight back after retiring in 2019 and his Heavyweight debut which left more to be desired. He will be dropping back to Light Heavyweight for this fight though and should be able to keep things competitive as long as he is not completely washed.

Gustafsson has always been a good striker and will have a two-inch reach advantage in this matchup. Both guys matchup similarly and I expect both to have success at times making this a really close fight. The biggest question mark is whether or not we see a good version of Gustafsson because if we do, he is a very live underdog in this matchup. Krylov by split-decision is the official pick but I am not expecting this fight to score well without an early finish for DraftKings.

Paddy Pimblett vs Jordan Leavitt
Pimblett, -250; Leavitt, +210

Paddy Pimblett is coming off a first-round submission against Rodrigo Vargas in March. Paddy the Baddy has quite the hype train coming into this one as he is currently on a four-fight win streak with four straight first round finishes. He is a dangerous submission grappler with eight submissions to his record, but he does have some power on the feet as well.

His opponent, Jordan Leavitt is coming off a split decision win over Trey Ogden in April. He is currently on a two-fight win streak and the “Monkey king” is 3-1 inside the UFC since coming off Dana White’s Contender Series in 2020. Leavitt is an above average wrestler and a good submission grappler, but he is likely outclassed in both of those areas against Pimblett. And on the feet, it’s likely not even competitive.

It’s possible Leavitt can get on top of Pimblett and try to grind out the rounds that way, but I would be surprised. I expect Pimblett to keep the fight standing until he hurts Leavitt with something. Pimblett by knockout is the official pick and he is a high upside target on DraftKings.

Chris Curtis vs Jack Hermansson
Curtis, -110; Hermansson, -110

The action man, Chris Curtis is stepping in on short notice once again. This time it’s for the co-main event against Jack Hermansson. Curtis just beat Rodolfo Vieira just four weeks ago and is currently on an eight-fight win streak. Curtis is a powerful striker with 16 of his 29 career wins coming by knockout. Historically, his takedown defense has been on point, and he has beat three very respectable opponents so far in the UFC.

Hermansson is coming off a split decision loss to Sean Strickland in February. To be clear, it should never have been a split as it was a convincing win for Strickland but that is the type of judging we have dealt with all year. Anyway, Hermansson is a well-rounded fighter that will throw in volume. I expect him to have success with the leg kicks and try to mix in the wrestling. If he can get Curtis to the mat then he should have a clear advantage there. The issue is nobody has been able to take Curtis down yet in the UFC.

Curtis has great takedown defense and I do not rate Hermansson’s wrestling very highly. If Curtis keeps the fight standing then he should have a striking advantage along with the potential to hurt Hermansson as well. This is a tough fight to predict because it basically all comes down to if Hermansson can take Curtis down or not. Because if he does then I expect him to find a finish but if the fight stays standing like I expect, then I would think Curtis knocks him out. For that reason, I will have exposure to both sides on DraftKings, but the official pick is Curtis by knockout.

Tom Aspinall vs Curtis Blaydes
Aspinall, -130; Blaydes, +110

Tom Aspinall is coming off the first-round submission victory over Alexander Volkov in March. He is 5-0 in the UFC with five straight finishes and currently on an eight-fight win streak. Aspinall is a very good prospect at Heavyweight and very strong wherever the fight goes. He has good boxing with fast hands and should have a speed advantage in this matchup. He is also a black belt in BJJ and we have started to see a little bit of his grappling over his last couple fights. The concern with Aspinall is that his cardio is a big question mark as he never reached the third round in his entire career.

His opponent, Curtis Blaydes is coming off a second-round knockout victory over Chris Daukaus in March. Blaydes only three career losses were knockout losses but they came against Derrick Lewis and Francis Ngannou twice. Outside of the durability concern for Blaydes, this man has all the tools to be a champion. He is the best wrestler at Heavyweight and has excellent cardio to push an aggressive chain wrestling pace for 25 minutes if needed. Lastly, his striking is underrated as his boxing is sharp and even though we prefer him to wrestle, he can hang in the striking department as well.

This is a great fight any way you slice it with two of the best Heavyweights going at it. However, I have to favor Blaydes as the more proven fighter especially outside of the first five minutes. Blaydes is going to be in danger early in the fight as Aspinall starts strong and has real finishing ability. But outside of Aspinall finding another early finish, I greatly favor Blaydes as the fight goes on. He can lean on his wrestling and tax the cardio of Aspinall and grind him over the course of the fight. Blaydes by TKO is the official pick and this is another great fight to target on DraftKings.