We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports for UFC 275 in Singapore. We have a fun 12-fight slate on DraftKings and many fights that could end up being some fan favorite bangers. It also helps that on DraftKings we have another $150,000 to first place in the main contest.

As always, I give my analysis and DraftKings strategy based on how I see each fight matchup playing out. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter  with any questions that you have leading up until fight night Saturday.

Joselyne Edwards vs Ramona Pascual
Edwards, -170; Pascual, +150

Joselyne Edwards is coming off a decision loss to Jessica-Rose Clark in October and is currently on a two-fight losing streak. She trains out of Kings MMA and has a technical kickboxing style and should have the striking advantage in this matchup to go along with a four-inch reach advantage. Additionally, she is the better submission grappler although she struggles to defend takedowns at just 47%.

Her opponent, Ramona Pascual is coming off a decision loss in her UFC debut against Josiane Nunes in February. Pascual does not have many skills to get excited about, but she is very tough and will move forward and fight aggressively. Despite the loss, she landed three takedowns in that fight and that is her best path to victory here as Edwards can be controlled on the mat.

But I could see Pascual landing takedowns and being in danger of getting submitted by an armbar. Edwards is not the best grappler, but she is active off her back and is always looking to setup her armbar. She has two wins by this method and had Wu Yanan stuck in a deep armbar attempt in her debut. I do not trust Pascual’s defensive grappling to stay safe after landing a takedown. I also favor Edwards to land more volume and the more impactful shots in the striking exchanges. Edwards by submission is the official pick and she is on my radar as a very low owned fighter that has finishing upside on DraftKings.

Silvana Gomez Juarez vs Na Liang
Juarez, -155; Liang, +135

Silvana Gomez Juarez is 0-2 inside the UFC and both of her losses came by first-round submission. I do not rate her skillset very highly at all. She has some decent striking technique but her defensively grappling is a major issue. Additionally, I do not believe she should be fighting in the UFC as she has a padded record and was originally supposed to fight on Dana White’s Contender Series but took the Lupita Godinez fight on short notice instead. She turns 38 years old later this year so if anything, she is declining in terms of her athleticism and explosiveness.

Her opponent, Na Liang is coming off a second-round TKO loss to Ariane Carnelossi in her UFC debut last April. That fight was absolute banger from the opponent bell as Liang only has one speed. She is a kill or be killed style of fighter with aggressive submission grappling and will give up position going for the finish. 10 of her 19 career victories have come by submission and six of those were first-round armbars which is her specialty move. The glaring weakness with Liang is her cardio dump. She puts on such a crazy grappling pace in the first round that she typically has nothing left if she cannot get the finish.

Overall, I strongly believe Juarez being a favorite over anyone in the UFC is wrong. This is a low-level fight, but Liang has major upside on DraftKings with her first-round win equity despite carrying some significant risks as well. Liang by submission is the official pick and I will be over the field ownership to her on DraftKings.

Danaa Batgerel vs Kyung-Ho Kang
Batgerel, -150; Kang, +130

Danaa Batgerel is coming off a second-round knockout loss to Chris Gutierrez in March. That loss snapped a three-fight win streak for him. He comes from a kickboxing background and has obvious punching power with eight of his 12 career wins coming by knockout, including three first-round knockouts inside the UFC. My issue with Batgerel is that he is too one-dimensional. If he isn’t landing the big shot, he typically isn’t landing a ton of volume on opponents and does not proactively grapple so he tends to be finish reliant. Additionally, his takedown defense needs work at just 57% and that could be a key factor in this matchup.

His opponent Kyung-Ho Kang is coming off a decision loss to Rani Yahya in November. That loss also snapped a three-fight win streak for him. Kang’s cardio has never been good, but he will be the better grappler in this matchup and averages over two takedowns per 15 minutes. He will need to initiate the takedowns as he is too low volume on the feet, and I expect Batgerel to get the better of the striking exchanges.

This is a binary fight in the sense that if it stays standing, I favor Batgerel significantly. But when it hits the mat, I favor Kang and expect him to be the one to take it there. For those reasons, I will have exposure to both sides on DraftKings but slight lean to the fighter that I expect to get the fight where he needs it in Kang. Kang by decision is the official pick.

Andre Fialho vs Jake Matthews
Fialho, -140; Matthews, +120

We just saw Andre Fialho inside the octagon on May 7th as he won by first-round knockout over Cameron VanCamp. He is looking to keep his surging momentum going with two wins in the past month and a half. Fialho is a one-dimensional power puncher, but the power cannot be understated. 13 of his 16 career wins have come by knockout, 11 of which were inside the first round. However, I still have concerns regarding his defensive grappling and that will be tested in the matchup against Jake Matthews.

Matthews is coming off a third-round submission to Sean Brady last March. That loss snapped a three-fight win streak for him. He is more of a grappler as he holds a black belt in BJJ and averages just under two takedowns per 15 minutes. That is clearly his best path to victory against Fialho who will have the power advantage on the feet. Outside of getting knocked out early, Matthews should be able to get this fight to the mat where he will have the advantage and be the better minute winner over 15 minutes. Matthews by decision is the official pick.

Steve Garcia vs Hayisaer Maheshate
Garcia, -155; Maheshate, +135

Steve Garcia is coming off a second-round knockout victory over Charlie Ontiveros in October which was his first UFC win. He is primarily a striker with legitimate knockout power as nine of his 12 career wins have come by knockout. He is also much more battle tested as he has respectable wins over Jose Mariscal in LFA and Ronnie Lawrence in Bellator.

His opponent, Hayisaer Maheshate is making his UFC debut fresh off a decision victory on Dana White’s Contender Series this past season. Maheshate is a striker as well and three of his six career victories have come by knockout. However, the gap in terms of the level of competition is clear. Maheshate’s win on Contender Series was the first time he had beaten a fighter with a winning record in his entire career. He was also hurt multiple times in that fight.

Neither fighter is defensively sound, so it is possible for either of them to get clipped, but the skill gap seems substantial to me and I favor Garcia to get the job done. Garcia by knockout is the official pick.

Seung Woo Choi vs Josh Culibao
Choi, -225; Culibao, +185

Seung Woo Choi is coming off a second-round submission loss to UFC veteran, Alex Caceres in October. That loss snapped a three-fight win streak for him and he will look to get back in the win column in what should be a favorable matchup. Choi comes from a high-level kickboxing background and should have a clear striking advantage in this matchup. The problem with Choi is that while his defensive grappling has been improving, there is still work to be done and above average wrestlers and grapplers can have their way with him.

His opponent, Josh Culibao is coming off a decision victory over Shayilan Nuerdanbieke last May. Culibao has some power in his hands but does not throw a ton of volume. Five of his nine wins have come by knockout, and it is clear to me that he will need to hurt Choi on the feet to beat him. He doesn’t proactively grapple and will be at a clear striking disadvantage in terms of volume, power and technique. Choi by decision is the official pick but outside of an early knockout, I am not expecting the winner to score well in this one.

Brendan Allen vs Jacob Malkoun
Allen, -280; Malkoun, +225

Brendan Allen secured his sixth UFC victory with a highlight reel finish over Sam Alvey in February.

He is an aggressive grappler with 10 of his 18 wins coming by submission and holds a black belt in BJJ. His striking has greatly improved over the last few fights since switching camps to Sanford MMA a couple years ago. The biggest concern with Allen is he seems to be in love with his hands recently and is not always proactive in getting the fight to the ground where his most skill lies.

His opponent, Jacob Malkoun is coming off a decision victory over UFC newcomer, Aj Dobson in February. Malkoun has a boring fighting style, but it works as he has now won back-to-back fights and has landed 14 combined takedowns since getting knocked out by Phil Hawes in his UFC debut. Malkoun does not have much outside of his ‘lay and pray’ approach and he will likely be at a disadvantage on the mat with Allen.

Allen will have a clear striking advantage and when the fight hits the ground like I expect it to, Allen should be the one threatening with submissions and winning the scrambles. Allen by TKO is the official pick and this is a solid fight to target on DraftKings.

Jack Della Maddalena vs Ramazan Emeev
Maddalena, -155; Emeev, +135

Jack Della Maddalena won by first-round knockout in his UFC debut against Pete Rodriguez in January at UFC 270. After starting his professional career 0-2, Maddalena is on an 11-fight win streak with nine of those wins coming by knockout. He is primarily one-dimensional power puncher with fast hands and good counter striking. However, his striking defense is subpar and he has been rocked repeatedly on the regional scene. Lastly, his grappling looked a little better against Ange Loosa than previous fights in his career, but it still needs work.

His opponent, Ramazan Emeev is coming off a split-decision loss to Danny Roberts in October. That loss snapped a two-fight win streak for him and I cannot help but feel he is being disrespected with this line movement. Emeev trains out of American Top Team and they always come in with a smart game plan which will likely include a lot of grappling like most of his fights. Emeev averages 2.29 takedowns per 15 minutes and that is clearly the best path to victory for him in this matchup.

I expect Emeev to land multiple takedowns here and test Maddalena’s ground game. But he does not have the best control on the mat and if Maddalena repeatedly works back to his feet then he will have bigger moments on the feet. Which means we will have another fight where it comes down to what the judges prefer more in damage versus control. Due to the experience and grappling edge, I side with the underdog in Emeev. Emeev by decision is the official pick but his low volume and lack of finishing ability make this fight not a great one to target on DraftKings.

Manel Kape vs Rogerio Bontorin
Kape, -220; Bontorin, +180

Manel Kape is currently on a two-fight win streak and most recently won by first-round knockout over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in December. He was scheduled to fight Su Mudaerji in April but was pulled due to a failed drug test. He is a legitimate contender in this division with powerful striking and fast hands. His athleticism and footwork on the feet complement his ground game nicely as he holds a black belt in BJJ as well.

His opponent, Rogerio Bontorin is coming off a split-decision loss to Brandon Royval in January. He landed eight takedowns in that fight but was unable to put a stamp on rounds in what was a closely contested fight. Bontorin is a fellow black belt as well with 11 of his 16 wins coming by submission. His striking is wild, but he is powerful although he will be at a speed disadvantage against Kape.

I expect Kape to be able to keep the fighting standing where he should have the advantage. If the fight does go to the mat, then Kape should be able to hold his own without being put in danger by Bontorin. Lastly, Bontorin has repeatedly slowed down when pushed to the later rounds and I expect Kape to take over as the fight gets extended if there is not an early finish. Kape by knockout is the official pick.

Zhang Weili vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Weili, -160; Jedrzejczyk, +140

These two fought back in 2020 in what was one of the greatest fights in UFC history. Even after watching the fight back multiple times, I’m not 100% sure how to score it but Zhang Weili got the nod via split-decision. Since then, Weili got knocked out in the first round against Rose Namajunas and they did the immediate rematch and she lost by split decision in November. She is a powerful striker that will throw in volume, and she has the power advantage in this matchup as well.

Her opponent, Joanna Jedrzejczyk has taken a two-year layoff since their last fight, and this will be her return to the octagon. She suffered some nasty damage during their first fight that included a large hematoma on her forehead. For my money, Jedrzejczyk is the most technical striker in the division right there with Rose Namajunas. She has an excellent jab and will mix in the leg kicks as well. She throws in more volume and will have a speed advantage similar to the first matchup.

I expect this to be another very competitive fight, but I have to side with the underdog in Jedrzejczyk. She has better cardio, better durability and will likely land more volume just like the first fight. She just needs to avoid the big shots which swayed rounds in Weili’s favor the first time around. Jedrzejczyk by decision is the official pick but I will have some exposure to both sides on DraftKings.

Valentina Shevchenko vs Taila Santos
Shevchenko, -630; Santos, +450

Valentina Shevchenko is coming off a fourth-round knockout victory over Lauren Murphy at UFC 266 last September. That was her sixth title defense and her only two UFC losses came against Amanda Nunes at Bantamweight. What is there to even say about Shevchenko at this stage in her career? She is one of the greatest pound for pound fighters to ever do it. Her technical striking along with her ability to land takedowns when she needs to make her very difficult to beat with any game plan.

Her opponent, Taila Santos is coming off a dominant first-round submission victory over Joanne Wood in November. She is currently on a four-fight win streak since dropping her UFC debut back in 2019. Santos is no doubt one of the most physically imposing fighters Shevchenko has faced during her title reign. Santos is a powerful striker on the feet with 10 career knockouts, but it is her ability to control her opponents on the mat that has gotten it done for her lately.

It is basically unheard of to officially pick anyone to beat Shevchenko and I’m not doing that either. But I do feel that Santos is one of the tougher tests for Shevchenko and at massive dog odds, I think she may be worth a small chance to pull the upset. Shevchenko by decision is the official pick but I will likely have more exposure to Santos and hope she shocks the world.

Jiri Prochazka vs Glover Teixeira
Prochazka, -200; Teixeira, +170

If you would have told me that Jiri Prochazka would be the betting favorite in a title fight after just two UFC bouts, I would have said you were crazy and yet here we are. Prochazka has a unique fighting style I still believe he is wreckless and will pay the price against the right opponent. But he is very powerful and 25 of his 28 career wins have come by knockout. He is currently on a 12-fight win streak and 11 of those came by knockout. Despite his flaws, the knockout upside is very real against any opponent he faces.

Glover Teixeira grabbed the belt off Jan Blachowicz at UFC 267 in Abu Dhabi last October when he won by submission in the second round. Teixeira is a legend of the sport and at nearly 43 years old, he made his UFC debut over 10 years ago now. It is clear that his best days are behind him, but he has put together an impressive win streak with six straight victories including the championship fight. It is clear that he will need to proactively get this fight to the ground to avoid the power of Prochazka and test his defensive grappling.

The problem is his durability as Teixeira has been knocked out three times in his career but has been rocked repeatedly during his current win streak. He is very savvy in how he is able to get the fight to the ground when he needs or when in danger and take over with his grappling. It is possible he finds a way to do that again here but at some point, the luck runs out for him. Prochazka is going to be bigger, faster and more powerful and I expect him to hurt Teixeira early in this fight. Prochazka by knockout is the official pick but I will have some exposure to both sides as I am expecting the winner to score well.