fbpx

We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports for UFC Vegas 35 in Las Vegas. We have a 12-fight DFS slate this week and a few lesser-known debutants, which should create an edge for us.

As always, I give my analysis and DraftKings strategy based on how I see each fight matchup playing out. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter or in the MMA DFS Discord with any questions that you have leading up until fight night Saturday.

Mana Martinez vs. Guido Cannetti

Martinez, -380; Cannetti, +290, DraftKings Sportsbook

Martinez is making his UFC debut and is coming off a first-round knockout victory over Jose Johnson on the regional scene in May. He previously fought on Dana White Contender Series last year but was submitted by Drako Rodriguez in the first round. He is a power striker with all eight of his professional victories coming by knockout, five of which came inside the first round. He does not have much of a ground game and can be controlled while on the mat which is a serious concern if he wants a future in the UFC. Cannetti is coming off a first-round knockout loss to Danaa Batgerel in March of 2020. He turns 42 later this year and has now lost three of his last four fights so the optics do not look great. He is a decent striker though with powerful kicks and willing to swing like crazy in the pocket. However, his typical low-volume kicking approach is not going to win minutes against a pressure power striker like Martinez unless he is successful in mixing in his wrestling. He averages over 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes and will need to have success wrestling in this matchup as I expect him to be losing on the feet and liable to get knocked out. I would consider him a live underdog in that he could land takedowns and Martinez is unproven on the mat. However, I do not trust him to land takedowns and his fighting style leads me to believe he gets knocked out here at a high clip. Martinez by knockout is the official pick. 

CONTINUE READING…